44th British Columbia general election

44th British Columbia general election
On or before October 21, 2028 (2028-10-21)
All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
47 seats needed for a majority
 
CON
Leader David Eby Trevor Halford
(interim)
Party New Democratic Conservative
Leader since October 21, 2022 December 4, 2025
Leader's seat Vancouver-Point Grey Surrey-White Rock
Last election 47 seats, 44.86% 44 seats, 43.28%
Current seats 47 39
Seats needed Steady Increase 8
 
GRN
Leader Emily Lowan Dallas Brodie (interim)
Party Green OneBC
Leader since September 24, 2025 December 21, 2025[a]
Leader's seat None Vancouver-Quilchena
Last election 2 seats, 8.24% New party
Current seats 2 1
Seats needed Increase 45 Increase 46
Incumbent Premier

David Eby
New Democratic



The 44th British Columbia general election will elect members of the Legislative Assembly to serve in the 44th Parliament of the Canadian province of British Columbia. The Constitution Act requires that the election be held no later than October 21, 2028, but it may be called earlier.

Date of the election

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the third Saturday in October of the fourth calendar year after the last election.[1][2] The previous election was held in 2024; the next election is therefore scheduled for October 21, 2028. The same section, though, makes the fixed election date subject to the lieutenant governor's prerogative to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as they see fit (in practice, on the advice of the premier or following a vote of non-confidence).[1][3]

Background

The 2024 British Columbia general election was held on October 19, 2024. The incumbent New Democratic Party (NDP), led by Premier David Eby, won a narrow majority government, marking their third consecutive term in office.[4] The opposition BC United (formerly the BC Liberals) withdrew shortly before the election and endorsed the Conservative Party, led by John Rustad, who went on to form the official opposition.[5] The Green Party remained steady with two seats, but leader Sonia Furstenau lost her seat.[b][6] On December 13, the NDP and Greens announced a co-operation agreement.[7]

On January 28, 2025, Furstenau announced her resignation as Green Party leader. Jeremy Valeriote was named interim leader while the party organized a leadership election for September 2025, which was won by Emily Lowan.[8]

After months of party infighting in the Conservative caucus, on December 3, 2025, a letter was sent to the Conservative party president on behalf of 20 Conservative MLAs calling for Rustad to be removed as leader. The MLAs, who remained anonymous, said they had "lost confidence" in his leadership. Rustad dismissed the letter and refused to step down. Subsequently, the party executive declared Rustad "professionally incapacitated" and thus removed him as leader, and named Trevor Halford as interim leader.[9] Rustad disputed the legitimacy of his removal, saying "nothing has changed" and that he remains leader.[10] The following day, Rustad announced his resignation as leader.[11]

Incumbents not standing for re-election

Member of the Legislative Assembly Electoral district Date announced Ref.
John Rustad Nechako Lakes December 4, 2025 [12]

Timeline

Changes in seats held (2024–present)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Vancouver-Quilchena March 7, 2025 Dallas Brodie █ Conservative Removed from caucus █ Independent
Peace River North March 7, 2025 Jordan Kealy █ Conservative Left caucus █ Independent
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream March 7, 2025 Tara Armstrong █ Conservative Left caucus █ Independent
Vancouver-Quilchena June 9, 2025 Dallas Brodie █ Independent Formed new party █ OneBC
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream June 9, 2025 Tara Armstrong █ Independent Formed new party █ OneBC
Surrey-Cloverdale September 22, 2025 Elenore Sturko █ Conservative Removed from caucus █ Independent
Penticton-Summerland October 20, 2025 Amelia Boultbee █ Conservative Left caucus █ Independent
Vancouver-Quilchena December 13, 2025 Dallas Brodie █ OneBC Removed from caucus █ Independent
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream December 16, 2025 Tara Armstrong █ OneBC Left caucus █ Independent
Vancouver-Quilchena December 21, 2025 Dallas Brodie █ Independent Rejoined caucus █ OneBC


2024

2025

2026

Opinion polling

Overall Polling with a local regression (LOESS) trend line for each party and a monthly average.
Opinion polls
Polling firm Dates conducted Source NDP Con. Green OneBC Centre Others[c] Margin of error Sample size Polling method Lead
Feb 9, 2026 The BC Green Party ends its confidence and supply agreement with the BC NDP.[29]
Leger Jan 23–26, 2026 [30] 44% 38% 9% 6% — 3% 3.1% 1,003 Online 6%
Dec 21, 2025 Dallas Brodie reassumes leadership of OneBC.
Mainstreet Research Dec 17–18, 2025 [31] 41% 41% 10% 7% — — 2.2% 1,902 Smart IVR Tie
Dec 13–16, 2025 Dallas Brodie is removed as leader of OneBC. Tara Armstrong subsequently leaves the party, and OneBC loses party status in the legislature.
Pallas Data Dec 11–13, 2025 [32] 44% 39% 9% 7% — 1% 3.2% 923 IVR 5%
Dec 3–4, 2025 John Rustad is removed as leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia. MLA Trevor Halford becomes interim leader.
Angus Reid Nov 26 – Dec 1, 2025 [33] 43% 40% 11% — — 8% 4% 463 Online 3%
Yorkville Strategies Nov 24–25, 2025 [34] 40% 42% 8% 5% — 4% — 600 IVR 2%
EKOS Nov 20–25, 2025 [35] 44% 35% 9% 8% 2% 3% 3.3% 889 Telephone 9%
Angus Reid Oct 23–25, 2025 [36] 40% 41% 11% 5% 1% 1% 3% 1,044 Online 1%
Abacus Data Oct 9–15, 2025 [37] 47% 40% 8% 1% 3% — 3.1% 1,000 Online 7%
Leger Oct 10–12, 2025 [38] 48% 38% 8% — — 7% 3.0% 1,035 Online 10%
Cardinal Research Oct 4–6, 2025 [39] 42.5% 41.3% 10% 3.8% — 2.5% 3% 1,088 IVR 1.2%
Research Co. Oct 1–3, 2025 [40] 44% 38% 12% 1% 3% 1% 3.5% 801 Online 6%
Sep 24, 2025 Emily Lowan is elected leader of the Green Party of British Columbia.
Angus Reid Aug 28 – Sep 5, 2025 [41] 42% 44% 10% — — 4% 3% 811 Online 2%
Mainstreet Research Jun 23–24, 2025 [42] 41% 44% 7% — — 8% 3.2% 943 Smart IVR 3%
Jun 9, 2025 Independent MLAs Dallas Brodie and Tara Armstrong form OneBC.[43]
Research Co. Jun 7–9, 2025 [44] 43% 42% 8% 1%[d] 2% 3% 3.5% 803 Online 1%
Leger May 23–25, 2025 [45] 45% 39% 11% — — 5% 3.04% 1,032 Online 6%
Liaison Strategies May 2–4, 2025 [46] 45% 47% 7% — — 2% 3.45% 800 IVR 2%
Mar 28, 2025 Former MLA Karin Kirkpatrick forms CentreBC.
Research Co. Mar 3–5, 2025 [47] 44% 42% 11% — — 3% 3.5% 802 Online 2%
Pallas Data Feb 15, 2025 [48] 48.8% 40.7% 7.6% — — 2.9% 3.8% 677 IVR 8.1%
Jan 28, 2025 Sonia Furstenau resigns as leader of the Green Party of British Columbia. MLA Jeremy Valeriote becomes interim leader.
Leger Jan 24–26, 2025 [49] 44% 42% 10% — — 4% 3.1% 1,001 Online 2%
2024 general election Oct 19, 2024 44.9% 43.3% 8.2% — — 3.6% — 2,107,152 Election 1.6%

Notes

  1. ^ Brodie was previously leader from June 9, 2025 – December 13, 2025.
  2. ^ Furstenau was the incumbent MLA for Cowichan Valley but stood in Victoria-Beacon Hill in 2024.
  3. ^ May implicitly include support for OneBC or CentreBC, depending on the poll
  4. ^ Poll asked about a prospective party with independent MLAs Dallas Brodie, Jordan Kealy, and Tara Armstrong. OneBC was announced after this poll was conducted.

References

  1. ^ a b Constitution Act, s. 23.
  2. ^ Shaw, Rob (October 4, 2017). "NDP changes B.C.'s fixed election date from May to October". Vancouver Sun. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
  3. ^ Zussman, Richard (May 26, 2017). "Christy Clark gets 1st chance to govern, but how long can it last?". CBC News.
  4. ^ Larsen, Karin (October 28, 2024). "B.C. lieutenant-governor asks NDP Leader David Eby to form government". CBC News. Retrieved May 2, 2025.
  5. ^ Dickson, Courtney (November 2, 2024). "From the shadows to the spotlight: Conservative surge shakes up B.C. politics". CBC News. Retrieved May 2, 2025.
  6. ^ Kulkarni, Akshay (October 22, 2024). "B.C. Greens mull role of potential kingmaker after tight election". CBC News. Retrieved January 30, 2025.
  7. ^ Larsen, Karin (December 13, 2024). "B.C. NDP and B.C. Greens announce co-operation agreement". CBC News. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  8. ^ DeRosa, Katie; Kurjata, Andrew (January 28, 2025). "Sonia Furstenau stepping down as B.C. Green Party leader". CBC News. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  9. ^ a b DeRosa, Katie (December 3, 2025). "John Rustad removed as B.C. Conservatives leader, party says". CBC News.
  10. ^ a b "John Rustad says 'nothing has changed' after B.C. Conservative Party board announces his removal as leader". CBC News.
  11. ^ a b Emily, Fagan; Vanderdeen, Lauren (December 4, 2025). "John Rustad resigns as leader of B.C. Conservative Party". CBC News. Retrieved December 4, 2025.
  12. ^ Fagan, Emily; Vanderdeen, Lauren (December 4, 2025). "B.C. Conservative Party Leader John Rustad announces resignation". CBC News. Retrieved December 4, 2025.
  13. ^ Larsen, Karin (December 13, 2024). "B.C. NDP and B.C. Greens announce co-operation agreement". CBC News. Retrieved January 29, 2025.
  14. ^ BC Government News (December 12, 2024). "Agreement in Principle: Term Sheet for Cooperation and Responsible Government Accord" (PDF). Government of British Columbia. Retrieved January 29, 2025.
  15. ^ Madtha, Rippon (January 28, 2025). "Sonia Furstenau Steps Down as Leader of the BC Greens". BC Green Party. Retrieved January 28, 2025.
  16. ^ Kurjata, Andrew (March 7, 2025). "B.C. Conservative leader kicks Dallas Brodie out of caucus for 'mocking' residential school testimony". CBC News. Retrieved March 7, 2025.
  17. ^ Kurjata, Andrew (March 7, 2025). "2 MLAs defect from B.C. Conservative Party following Dallas Brodie's ouster". CBC News. Retrieved March 7, 2025.
  18. ^ Page, Mark (June 12, 2025). "Former Conservative MLA Dallas Brodie to lead new B.C. political party". Keremos Review. Black Press Media. Retrieved June 12, 2025.
  19. ^ Johansen, Nicholas (June 12, 2025). "Kelowna MLA part of new BC political party". Castanet. Retrieved June 12, 2025.
  20. ^ Lazenby, Alec (September 22, 2025). "Elenore Sturko booted from B.C. Conservative caucus as John Rustad survives leadership review". Vancouver Sun. Postmedia Network. Retrieved September 22, 2025.
  21. ^ "Emily Lowan rides youthful wave to landslide B.C. Greens leadership win". September 24, 2025.
  22. ^ "Fifth B.C. Conservative MLA leaves party as John Rustad struggles to maintain hold over caucus". Vancouver Sun. Postmedia Network. October 20, 2025. Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  23. ^ DeRosa, Katie. "New Democrats back Premier David Eby's leadership at convention with 82 per cent support". CBC News.
  24. ^ "OneBC – Volunteer". 1bc.ca. Retrieved December 14, 2025.
  25. ^ "OneBC ousts MLA Dallas Brodie as leader — but she says she's fighting back". CBC News.
  26. ^ https://x.com/taraarmstrongbc/status/2001111433044492366?s=46
  27. ^ Joveski, Emily (December 22, 2025). "Dallas Brodie reclaims OneBC leadership after board resigns". AM 1150. Retrieved December 22, 2025.
  28. ^ Pawson, Chad (February 9, 2026). "B.C. Greens pull out of governing accord with B.C. NDP". CBC News.
  29. ^ "Greens End Deal to Back NDP, Citing Policy Failures". The Tyee. Retrieved February 10, 2026.
  30. ^ "Government of British Columbia Report Card – Pulse Check: January 2026" (PDF). Leger. February 3, 2026. Retrieved February 3, 2026.
  31. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey – British Columbia" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. December 22, 2025. Retrieved December 22, 2025.
  32. ^ "Pallas British Columbia Poll: NDP 44%, Conservative 39%, Greens 9%, OneBC 7%". Pallas Data. December 22, 2025. Retrieved December 22, 2025.
  33. ^ "Government satisfaction scores fall like winter snow as Canadians blanketed in cost-of-living challenges". Angus Reid. December 17, 2025. Retrieved December 19, 2025.
  34. ^ Pantazopoulos, Dimitri (November 26, 2025). "New Yorkville Strategies BC polling shows that the BC Conservatives hold a slim lead over the BC NDP". Twitter. Retrieved November 26, 2025.
  35. ^ "British Columbia provincial polling". Polling Canada. Retrieved December 19, 2025.
  36. ^ "Rustad's rocky road: Half of the BC Conservative Party's 2024 voters say they want him to go". Angus Reid. October 27, 2025. Retrieved October 26, 2025.
  37. ^ "Abacus Data BC Poll: Eby Government Holds the Edge a Year After the Provincial Election". Abacus Data. October 20, 2025. Retrieved October 20, 2025.
  38. ^ "Government of British Columbia Report Card: October 2025" (PDF). Leger. October 29, 2025. Retrieved October 29, 2025.
  39. ^ "British Columbia Survey". Cardinal Research. October 6, 2025. Retrieved October 6, 2025.
  40. ^ "NDP Leads, Conservatives Drop, Greens Gain in British Columbia". Research Co. October 6, 2025. Retrieved October 6, 2025.
  41. ^ "Cross-Canada Outlook – Provincial Issues, Politics, and Government Performance: British Columbia". Angus Reid Institute. September 11, 2025. Retrieved September 12, 2025.
  42. ^ "Mainstreet Research Survey – British Columbia" (PDF). Mainstreet Research. June 25, 2025. Retrieved June 26, 2025.
  43. ^ DeRosa, Katie (June 13, 2025). "2 MLAs form new B.C. political party that courts social conservatives". CBC News. Retrieved June 14, 2025.
  44. ^ Canseco, Mario (June 16, 2025). "Little Change in British Columbia Politics, Even With New Parties". Research Co. Retrieved June 16, 2025.
  45. ^ "Government of British Columbia Report Card: June 2025" (PDF). Leger. June 12, 2025. Retrieved June 12, 2025.
  46. ^ "BC: Conservatives Lead NDP, 47% to 45%". Liaison Strategies. May 7, 2025. Retrieved May 7, 2025.
  47. ^ "British Columbia's Political Scene Remains Closely Contested". Research Co. March 11, 2025. Retrieved March 11, 2025.
  48. ^ "British Columbia Provincial Voting Intentions" (PDF). Pallas Data. February 18, 2025. Retrieved March 7, 2025.
  49. ^ "Government of British Columbia Report Card January 2025" (PDF). Leger. February 5, 2025. Retrieved February 6, 2025.
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